KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 1.58.
• Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
• The market prices KVC Westerlo below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.13, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp odds movement

Median bookmaker price on KVC Westerlo, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

4.12

Attack rating (KVC Westerlo / Antwerp)

1.29 / 0.95

Defence rating (KVC Westerlo / Antwerp)

1.34 / 1.32

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: KVC Westerlo goals. Columns: Antwerp goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

74%

No goals (0–0)

2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp recent form

KVC Westerlo WWWDLL 3W 1D 2L

Antwerp LLLLDW 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: KVC Westerlo at home only, Antwerp away only.