Zulte Waregem vs Gent: model vs market
| Source | Zulte Waregem | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 37% |
| Edge | +1% | +3% | -4% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gent, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | 2.80 | 2.80 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.27 | 3.25 | -0.02 |
| Gent | 2.39 | 2.40 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zulte Waregem and Gent expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.25
- Attack rating (Zulte Waregem / Gent)
- 1.13 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Zulte Waregem / Gent)
- 0.84 / 0.67
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zulte Waregem goals. Columns: Gent goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zulte Waregem vs Gent
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Gent | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.13 |
| No | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zulte Waregem or draw) | 63% | 1.60 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Gent) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gent win by 2+ | 15% | 6.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zulte Waregem and Gent recent form
Zulte Waregem
2W 2D 2L
Gent
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zulte Waregem at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Gent away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zulte Waregem at home only, Gent away only.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Zulte Waregem 1 · draws 0 · Gent 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Gent | 2-0 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-10-19 | Zulte Waregem | 4-1 | Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- SK Beveren vs Lommel United — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht 2026-10-10
- RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV 2026-10-10
- Genk v Kortrijk — match page 2026-10-10
- Standard Liege v Charleroi — match page 2026-10-11
- Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- KVC Westerlo v Antwerp — match page 2026-10-11
- KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden — team news & stats 2026-10-11