RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV: model vs market
| Source | RAAL La Louvière | Draw | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| Market | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| Published | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| Edge | -5% | -5% | +10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club Brugge KV below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Club Brugge KV, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière | 7.72 | 6.98 | -0.74 |
| Draw | 5.20 | 4.75 | -0.45 |
| Club Brugge KV | 1.33 | 1.36 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.77
- Attack rating (RAAL La Louvière / Club Brugge KV)
- 0.91 / 1.66
- Defence rating (RAAL La Louvière / Club Brugge KV)
- 1.40 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: RAAL La Louvière goals. Columns: Club Brugge KV goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RAAL La Louvière | 12% | 8.39 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.52 | |
| Club Brugge KV | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| No | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (RAAL La Louvière or draw) | 30% | 3.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Club Brugge KV) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win by 2+ | 58% | 1.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV recent form
RAAL La Louvière
1W 1D 4L
Club Brugge KV
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
RAAL La Louvière at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Club Brugge KV away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: RAAL La Louvière at home only, Club Brugge KV away only.
RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: RAAL La Louvière 2 · draws 0 · Club Brugge KV 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Club Brugge KV | 2-3 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-09-13 | RAAL La Louvière | 1-0 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
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