Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina preview
In the upcoming fixture, Borac Banja Luka has a 73% probability of winning against Radnik Bijeljina, who stands at just 9%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects an expected goals total of 2.62 for Borac Banja Luka and 1.05 for Radnik Bijeljina. With a high 71% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, the match could see multiple goals.
However, the recent form shows Borac Banja Luka has mixed results with L-W-W-W-L-W, while Radnik Bijeljina has a slightly better recent record of W-L-D-W-D-L. This could impact the outcome, making it possible for Radnik Bijeljina to perform better than expected despite the statistics.
Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina: model vs market
| Source | Borac Banja Luka | Draw | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 8% |
| Published | 73% | 17% | 9% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.25, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Borac Banja Luka, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.15 | 1.22 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 5.80 | 5.25 | -0.55 |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 13.00 | 11.00 | -2.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.67
- Attack rating (Borac Banja Luka / Radnik Bijeljina)
- 1.49 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Borac Banja Luka / Radnik Bijeljina)
- 0.93 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Borac Banja Luka goals. Columns: Radnik Bijeljina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 73% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.76 | |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 9% | 10.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Borac Banja Luka or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Radnik Bijeljina) | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win by 2+ | 50% | 2.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina recent form
Borac Banja Luka
4W 0D 2L
Radnik Bijeljina
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borac Banja Luka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.17
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Radnik Bijeljina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Borac Banja Luka at home only, Radnik Bijeljina away only.
Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Borac Banja Luka 7 · draws 2 · Radnik Bijeljina 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Borac Banja Luka | 4-3 | Radnik Bijeljina | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-08-30 | Radnik Bijeljina | 2-2 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-05-22 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-03-21 | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-12-03 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-09-20 | Borac Banja Luka | 5-1 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-05-18 | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-0 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-03-01 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-09-29 | Borac Banja Luka | 2-0 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| 2022-04-23 | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Velež vs Čelik — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2026-11-07
- Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka 2026-11-08
- Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Borac Banja Luka, previous: Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka analysis
- Borac Banja Luka, next: Borac Banja Luka v Atalanta analysis
- Radnik Bijeljina, previous: Radnik Bijeljina – Siroki Brijeg, 2026-10-31