Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka preview
In the fixture between Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka, the 1X2 probabilities show Sloga Doboj at 40%, while BSK Banja Luka is at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 7% chance according to our model. Sloga Doboj's recent form is poor, with 6 consecutive losses, while BSK Banja Luka has drawn 3 of their last 6 matches.
The expected goals indicate Sloga Doboj at 1.12 and BSK Banja Luka at 1.47. With both teams to score at 53% and Over 2.5 goals at 48%, there is potential for more action than the scoreline suggests. However, Sloga Doboj's struggles could lead to a different outcome than expected.
Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka: model vs market
| Source | Sloga Doboj | Draw | BSK Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sloga Doboj, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sloga Doboj | 2.02 | 1.92 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.23 | +0.03 |
| BSK Banja Luka | 3.28 | 3.58 | +0.29 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.59
- Attack rating (Sloga Doboj / BSK Banja Luka)
- 0.62 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Sloga Doboj / BSK Banja Luka)
- 1.27 / 1.36
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sloga Doboj goals. Columns: BSK Banja Luka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| BSK Banja Luka | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sloga Doboj or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or BSK Banja Luka) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sloga Doboj win by 2+ | 11% | 8.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka recent form
Sloga Doboj
0W 0D 6L
BSK Banja Luka
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sloga Doboj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BSK Banja Luka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sloga Doboj at home only, BSK Banja Luka away only.
Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Sloga Doboj 1 · draws 0 · BSK Banja Luka 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | BSK Banja Luka | 0-1 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Velež vs Čelik — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2026-11-07
- Borac Banja Luka v Radnik Bijeljina — match page 2026-11-08
- Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Sloga Doboj, previous: Sloga Doboj vs Velež: odds and pick
- BSK Banja Luka, previous: BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo prediction