BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo preview
In the fixture between BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest, with FK Sarajevo at 35% and BSK Banja Luka at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.15 for BSK Banja Luka and 1.18 for FK Sarajevo.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. The probability for Over 2.5 goals is 41%, while both teams to score stands at 49%. Recent form also indicates a mix of results, with BSK Banja Luka having a W-D-L-D-D-W record and FK Sarajevo at W-D-D-W-L-L. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo: model vs market
| Source | BSK Banja Luka | Draw | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.33
- Attack rating (BSK Banja Luka / FK Sarajevo)
- 1.29 / 0.90
- Defence rating (BSK Banja Luka / FK Sarajevo)
- 1.43 / 0.67
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: BSK Banja Luka goals. Columns: FK Sarajevo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 | |
| FK Sarajevo | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (BSK Banja Luka or draw) | 65% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Sarajevo) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Sarajevo win by 2+ | 15% | 6.48 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo recent form
BSK Banja Luka
2W 3D 1L
FK Sarajevo
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
BSK Banja Luka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Sarajevo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: BSK Banja Luka at home only, FK Sarajevo away only.
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: BSK Banja Luka 0 · draws 0 · FK Sarajevo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | BSK Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski 2026-10-31
- Radnik Bijeljina v Siroki Brijeg — match page 2026-10-31
- Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Sloga Doboj vs Velež 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- BSK Banja Luka, previous: Velež vs BSK Banja Luka: odds and pick
- FK Sarajevo, previous: FK Sarajevo – Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, 2026-10-24