Sloga Doboj vs Velež preview
In the upcoming match between Sloga Doboj and Velež, the 1X2 probabilities show Sloga Doboj at 46%, while Velež sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 15% chance. Sloga Doboj's expected goals are 1.25 compared to Velež's 0.77, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Sloga Doboj has recorded four losses in their last five matches, while Velež has two draws and three losses. The model suggests a 33% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance for both teams to score, which could change the dynamics if either team finds their scoring touch.
Sloga Doboj vs Velež: model vs market
| Source | Sloga Doboj | Draw | Velež |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sloga Doboj and Velež expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (Sloga Doboj / Velež)
- 0.67 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Sloga Doboj / Velež)
- 1.35 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sloga Doboj vs Velež score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sloga Doboj goals. Columns: Velež goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sloga Doboj vs Velež goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sloga Doboj vs Velež
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Velež | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sloga Doboj or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Velež) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sloga Doboj win by 2+ | 18% | 5.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sloga Doboj and Velež recent form
Sloga Doboj
0W 1D 5L
Velež
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sloga Doboj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Velež away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sloga Doboj at home only, Velež away only.
Sloga Doboj vs Velež head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Sloga Doboj 1 · draws 1 · Velež 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Velež | 2-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-04-11 | Velež | 0-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-12-13 | Sloga Doboj | 1-2 | Velež | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-10-04 | Velež | 2-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-07-26 | Sloga Doboj | 2-1 | Velež | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski 2026-10-31
- Radnik Bijeljina v Siroki Brijeg — match page 2026-10-31
- Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- BSK Banja Luka v FK Sarajevo — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Sloga Doboj, previous: Borac Banja Luka v Sloga Doboj analysis
- Velež, previous: Velež vs BSK Banja Luka: odds and pick