Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo preview
In the fixture between Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo, the 1X2 probabilities show Radnik Bijeljina at 36%, a draw at 29%, and FK Sarajevo at 35%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 53%, suggesting a competitive match where either side could find the net.
Radnik Bijeljina's recent form includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while FK Sarajevo has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The expected goals are closely matched, with Radnik Bijeljina at 1.28 and FK Sarajevo at 1.26. This tight matchup could lead to unexpected results, especially given the head-to-head record, where Radnik Bijeljina has 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 meetings.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo: model vs market
| Source | Radnik Bijeljina | Draw | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Radnik Bijeljina / FK Sarajevo)
- 1.26 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Radnik Bijeljina / FK Sarajevo)
- 1.58 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnik Bijeljina goals. Columns: FK Sarajevo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnik Bijeljina | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | |
| FK Sarajevo | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnik Bijeljina or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Sarajevo) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Radnik Bijeljina win by 2+ | 16% | 6.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo recent form
Radnik Bijeljina
1W 3D 2L
FK Sarajevo
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnik Bijeljina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
FK Sarajevo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnik Bijeljina at home only, FK Sarajevo away only.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Radnik Bijeljina 0 · draws 3 · FK Sarajevo 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | FK Sarajevo | 0-0 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-04-18 | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-2 | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-02-06 | FK Sarajevo | 2-0 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-10-18 | Radnik Bijeljina | 2-2 | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-08-03 | FK Sarajevo | 4-4 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2026-10-17
- Čelik vs Zrinjski 2026-10-17
- Velež v Borac Banja Luka — match page 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Radnik Bijeljina, previous: Radnik Bijeljina – Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, 2026-10-11
- FK Sarajevo, previous: Čelik v FK Sarajevo analysis