Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg preview
In the upcoming match between Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg, the 1X2 probabilities show Siroki Brijeg at 38% to win, compared to Sloga Doboj's 33%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 9%. The expected goals indicate Sloga Doboj at 1.23 and Siroki Brijeg at 1.35, suggesting a close contest.
While both teams to score stands at 54%, the recent form shows Sloga Doboj with three losses in their last five matches, and Siroki Brijeg has not won in their last five games. This could impact the expected outcome, as recent performances may not align with statistical predictions. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the forecast.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg: model vs market
| Source | Sloga Doboj | Draw | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Sloga Doboj / Siroki Brijeg)
- 0.82 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Sloga Doboj / Siroki Brijeg)
- 1.36 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sloga Doboj goals. Columns: Siroki Brijeg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 33% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Siroki Brijeg | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| No | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sloga Doboj or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Siroki Brijeg) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Siroki Brijeg win by 2+ | 18% | 5.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg recent form
Sloga Doboj
1W 2D 3L
Siroki Brijeg
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sloga Doboj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Siroki Brijeg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sloga Doboj at home only, Siroki Brijeg away only.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sloga Doboj 4 · draws 2 · Siroki Brijeg 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Siroki Brijeg | 0-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-05-02 | Sloga Doboj | 2-0 | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-03-01 | Siroki Brijeg | 1-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-11-08 | Sloga Doboj | 0-0 | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-08-23 | Siroki Brijeg | 1-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-05-25 | Sloga Doboj | 0-1 | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-12-08 | Siroki Brijeg | 0-1 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-09-15 | Sloga Doboj | 1-0 | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-05-20 | Sloga Doboj | 2-3 | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-03-09 | Siroki Brijeg | 0-1 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2026-10-17
- Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Čelik vs Zrinjski 2026-10-17
- Velež v Borac Banja Luka — match page 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Sloga Doboj, previous: Sloga Doboj – Zrinjski, 2026-10-11
- Siroki Brijeg, previous: Velež vs Siroki Brijeg prediction