BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo preview
In the fixture between BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, the 1X2 probabilities show BSK Banja Luka at 46%, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model predicts a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
Recent form indicates BSK Banja Luka has 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has 2 wins in the same period. This could affect the outcome, as BSK Banja Luka's struggles may lead to a different result than expected. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: model vs market
| Source | BSK Banja Luka | Draw | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 26% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.34.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.09
- Attack rating (BSK Banja Luka / Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)
- 1.16 / 1.01
- Defence rating (BSK Banja Luka / Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)
- 1.46 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: BSK Banja Luka goals. Columns: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (BSK Banja Luka or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | BSK Banja Luka win by 2+ | 25% | 3.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo recent form
BSK Banja Luka
1W 2D 3L
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
BSK Banja Luka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: BSK Banja Luka at home only, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo away only.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: BSK Banja Luka 0 · draws 0 · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 2-1 | BSK Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Čelik vs Zrinjski 2026-10-17
- Velež v Borac Banja Luka — match page 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- BSK Banja Luka, previous: Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka: odds and pick
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, previous: Radnik Bijeljina – Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, 2026-10-11