FAR Rabat vs Korhogo Prediction & Betting Tips 25/10/2026

FAR Rabat vs Korhogo preview

FAR Rabat faces Korhogo with a 45% chance of winning compared to 27% for Korhogo. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects FAR Rabat's expected goals of 1.48 against Korhogo's 1.09. Both teams to score stands at 53%, suggesting a moderate chance for goals from both sides.

However, the recent form shows FAR Rabat has drawn three of their last five matches, which could impact their ability to secure a win. Korhogo's recent form includes a win and a draw, indicating they could pose a challenge. The confidence grade is C, highlighting some uncertainty in the outcome. Over 2.5 goals is at 48%, indicating a balanced expectation for total goals in the match.

FAR Rabat vs Korhogo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	FAR Rabat	Draw	Korhogo
Model	47%	28%	26%
Market	—	—	—
Published	47%	28%	26%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.10.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

FAR Rabat and Korhogo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.56FAR Rabat

1.10Korhogo

Total expected goals: 2.66
Attack rating (FAR Rabat / Korhogo): 1.16 / 1.20
Defence rating (FAR Rabat / Korhogo): 1.00 / 0.95

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FAR Rabat vs Korhogo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.2% 6.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 1 9.7% 13.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.8% 2 8.5% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.7% 3 4.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: FAR Rabat goals. Columns: Korhogo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FAR Rabat vs Korhogo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 54%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FAR Rabat vs Korhogo

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	FAR Rabat	47%	2.14
	Draw	28%	3.61
	Korhogo	26%	3.91
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	2.02
	Under 2.5	50%	1.98
Both teams to score	Yes	54%	1.86
	No	46%	2.16
Double chance	1X (FAR Rabat or draw)	74%	1.34
	12 (either side)	72%	1.38
	X2 (draw or Korhogo)	53%	1.88
Handicap -1	FAR Rabat win by 2+	25%	4.07
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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