Korhogo vs FAR Rabat Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Korhogo vs FAR Rabat preview

In the CAF Confederation Cup match between Korhogo and FAR Rabat, the 1X2 probabilities show Korhogo at 54%, while FAR Rabat sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 11% chance. Korhogo has an expected goals figure of 1.70 compared to FAR Rabat’s 0.95, suggesting a stronger attacking performance.

However, both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a close match where either side could find the net. Korhogo's recent form includes a win and a draw, while FAR Rabat has drawn three of its last five matches. This could influence the outcome, making it possible for FAR Rabat to disrupt Korhogo's advantage. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the prediction.

Korhogo vs FAR Rabat: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Korhogo	Draw	FAR Rabat
Model	54%	26%	20%
Market	—	—	—
Published	54%	26%	20%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.95.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Korhogo and FAR Rabat expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.70Korhogo

0.95FAR Rabat

Total expected goals: 2.65
Attack rating (Korhogo / FAR Rabat): 1.20 / 1.10
Defence rating (Korhogo / FAR Rabat): 0.95 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Korhogo vs FAR Rabat score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.2% 5.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 1 10.8% 12.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.5% 2 10.2% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 3 5.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Korhogo goals. Columns: FAR Rabat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Korhogo vs FAR Rabat goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 75%

Over 2.5 49%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Korhogo vs FAR Rabat

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Korhogo	54%	1.86
	Draw	26%	3.80
	FAR Rabat	20%	5.01
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	49%	2.02
	Under 2.5	51%	1.98
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.95
	No	49%	2.06
Double chance	1X (Korhogo or draw)	80%	1.25
	12 (either side)	74%	1.36
	X2 (draw or FAR Rabat)	46%	2.16
Handicap -1	Korhogo win by 2+	30%	3.31
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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