AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad preview
AB Copenhagen faces Aarhus Fremad with a 43% chance of winning according to the model's 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 11% of the time. However, the match could see more goals, as the market suggests a 42% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score.
AB Copenhagen's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Aarhus Fremad has two wins and three draws in the same period. Historically, Aarhus Fremad has had the upper hand with five wins in the last ten encounters, which could influence the outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad: model vs market
| Source | AB Copenhagen | Draw | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Published | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Edge | -5% | +4% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad odds movement
Median bookmaker price on AB Copenhagen, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AB Copenhagen | 2.08 | 2.10 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.56 | -0.04 |
| Aarhus Fremad | 3.12 | 3.09 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AB Copenhagen and Aarhus Fremad expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.37
- Attack rating (AB Copenhagen / Aarhus Fremad)
- 1.18 / 0.98
- Defence rating (AB Copenhagen / Aarhus Fremad)
- 0.85 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AB Copenhagen goals. Columns: Aarhus Fremad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AB Copenhagen | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Aarhus Fremad | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AB Copenhagen or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Aarhus Fremad) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | AB Copenhagen win by 2+ | 18% | 5.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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AB Copenhagen and Aarhus Fremad recent form
AB Copenhagen
3W 0D 3L
Aarhus Fremad
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AB Copenhagen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aarhus Fremad away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AB Copenhagen at home only, Aarhus Fremad away only.
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: AB Copenhagen 3 · draws 2 · Aarhus Fremad 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-24 | Aarhus Fremad | 1-2 | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division |
| 2025-04-19 | AB Copenhagen | 0-2 | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
| 2025-04-12 | Aarhus Fremad | 3-1 | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division |
| 2024-08-23 | AB Copenhagen | 3-2 | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
| 2024-06-07 | AB Copenhagen | 5-3 | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
| 2024-05-11 | Aarhus Fremad | 1-0 | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division |
| 2024-03-17 | AB Copenhagen | 1-1 | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
| 2023-10-07 | Aarhus Fremad | 1-1 | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division |
| 2023-06-17 | Aarhus Fremad | 5-2 | AB Copenhagen | 2. Division |
| 2023-04-16 | AB Copenhagen | 0-3 | Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
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