Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Vendsyssel FF	Draw	HB Koge
Model	38%	26%	36%
Market	41%	27%	31%
Published	41%	27%	32%
Edge	-4%	-1%	+5%

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Vendsyssel FF, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.23Now 2.21 -0.02

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Vendsyssel FF	2.23	2.21	-0.02
Draw	3.38	3.38	+0.00
HB Koge	2.92	2.93	+0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.53Vendsyssel FF

1.49HB Koge

Total expected goals: 3.02
Attack rating (Vendsyssel FF / HB Koge): 0.96 / 1.01
Defence rating (Vendsyssel FF / HB Koge): 1.11 / 1.08

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 6.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.4% 1 6.4% 12.3% 8.3% 4.1% 2.1% 2 5.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.6% 3 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 4+ 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%

Rows: Vendsyssel FF goals. Columns: HB Koge goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 81%

Over 2.5 58%

Over 3.5 36%

Both teams to score: 62%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Vendsyssel FF	41%	2.47
	Draw	27%	3.70
	HB Koge	32%	3.08
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.72
	Under 2.5	42%	2.38
Both teams to score	Yes	62%	1.62
	No	38%	2.61
Double chance	1X (Vendsyssel FF or draw)	68%	1.48
	12 (either side)	73%	1.37
	X2 (draw or HB Koge)	59%	1.68
Handicap -1	Vendsyssel FF win by 2+	19%	5.29
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer

18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.

Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge recent form

Vendsyssel FF 2W 2D 2L

HB Koge 1W 4D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vendsyssel FF at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-1-2
Win rate: 25%
Goals for / match: 0.50
Goals against / match: 1.25
Clean sheets: 2 of 4

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

HB Koge away

Record (W-D-L): 0-2-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 0.75
Goals against / match: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 of 4

They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vendsyssel FF at home only, HB Koge away only.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Vejle vs Hvidovre — team news & stats 2026-10-09
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad 2026-10-09
Hillerød v FC Fredericia — match page 2026-10-10
Esbjerg v Aalborg — match page 2026-10-10
Hobro vs Kolding IF — team news & stats 2026-10-10

Prediction snapshot Vendsyssel FF to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Vendsyssel FF