Hobro vs Kolding IF

Hobro vs Kolding IF: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.26.
• The market prices Kolding IF below the model: +15.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.

Hobro vs Kolding IF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Kolding IF, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Hobro and Kolding IF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.32

Attack rating (Hobro / Kolding IF)

0.94 / 1.13

Defence rating (Hobro / Kolding IF)

1.37 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hobro vs Kolding IF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Hobro goals. Columns: Kolding IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hobro vs Kolding IF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

63%

No goals (0–0)

5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

Hobro and Kolding IF recent form

Hobro LDLLWW 2W 1D 3L

Kolding IF DDLLWW 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: Hobro at home only, Kolding IF away only.