Vejle vs Hvidovre preview
In the Denmark 1. Division, Vejle hosts Hvidovre with a 52% probability of winning according to model 1X2. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. Vejle's expected goals stand at 1.83, while Hvidovre's is 1.37.
Both teams to score has a 64% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 62%. Vejle's recent form shows mixed results with three draws and two wins, while Hvidovre has won five of their last six matches. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty, as probabilities are blended with market odds. This means unexpected results could arise, particularly given Hvidovre's strong recent form.
Vejle vs Hvidovre: model vs market
| Source | Vejle | Draw | Hvidovre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | -7% | 0% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.37.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Vejle vs Hvidovre odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vejle, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vejle | 1.69 | 1.71 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.78 | -0.07 |
| Hvidovre | 4.28 | 4.28 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vejle and Hvidovre expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Vejle / Hvidovre)
- 1.37 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Vejle / Hvidovre)
- 0.87 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vejle vs Hvidovre score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vejle goals. Columns: Hvidovre goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vejle vs Hvidovre goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vejle vs Hvidovre
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Hvidovre | 23% | 4.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vejle or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Hvidovre) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vejle win by 2+ | 27% | 3.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Vejle and Hvidovre recent form
Vejle
2W 3D 1L
Hvidovre
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vejle at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Hvidovre away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vejle at home only, Hvidovre away only.
Vejle vs Hvidovre head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Vejle 5 · draws 4 · Hvidovre 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Hvidovre | 1-1 | Vejle | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-05-20 | Vejle | 2-0 | Hvidovre | Superliga |
| 2024-04-21 | Hvidovre | 2-1 | Vejle | Superliga |
| 2023-11-24 | Hvidovre | 1-1 | Vejle | Superliga |
| 2023-10-08 | Vejle | 3-1 | Hvidovre | Superliga |
| 2023-05-05 | Hvidovre | 0-1 | Vejle | 1. Division |
| 2023-04-13 | Vejle | 0-0 | Hvidovre | 1. Division |
| 2022-10-22 | Vejle | 3-1 | Hvidovre | 1. Division |
| 2022-09-30 | Hvidovre | 1-1 | Vejle | 1. Division |
| 2020-12-15 | Hvidovre | 2-3 | Vejle | DBU Pokalen |
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