Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca preview
Delfin SC faces Deportivo Cuenca with a 41% chance of winning compared to 28% for Deportivo Cuenca. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has an 11% probability. Both teams to score stands at 47%, indicating a moderate chance that both sides will find the net.
Delfin SC's expected goals are 1.16, slightly higher than Deportivo Cuenca's 1.09. Recent form shows Delfin SC with 2 wins and 4 draws in their last 6 matches, while Deportivo Cuenca has 2 wins and 4 draws as well. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise, especially given the close expected goals and recent performances.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca: model vs market
| Source | Delfin SC | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 26% |
| Published | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Delfin SC, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 2.06 | 2.12 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 3.11 | 3.03 | -0.08 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 3.64 | 3.47 | -0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.25
- Attack rating (Delfin SC / Deportivo Cuenca)
- 1.01 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Delfin SC / Deportivo Cuenca)
- 1.27 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Delfin SC goals. Columns: Deportivo Cuenca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Delfin SC | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.13 |
| No | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Delfin SC or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Cuenca) | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Delfin SC win by 2+ | 16% | 6.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca recent form
Delfin SC
2W 2D 2L
Deportivo Cuenca
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Delfin SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-6
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cuenca away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-8
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Delfin SC at home only, Deportivo Cuenca away only.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Delfin SC 2 · draws 3 · Deportivo Cuenca 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-02-22 | Delfin SC | 1-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2025-12-06 | Deportivo Cuenca | 0-0 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-11-01 | Delfin SC | 2-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2025-07-13 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-03-16 | Delfin SC | 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Delfin SC, previous: Orense SC v Delfin SC analysis
- Deportivo Cuenca, previous: Manta FC – Deportivo Cuenca, 2026-10-24