Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC preview
In the Liga Pro fixture between Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Cuenca at 40%, while Orense SC sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time according to our model.
Deportivo Cuenca's recent form includes 1 win and 3 draws in their last 6 matches, while Orense SC has 1 win and 3 draws in their last 6. The expected goals are close, with Deportivo Cuenca at 1.20 and Orense SC at 1.17. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 42%, and both teams to score is at 50%, indicating potential for a more dynamic match, but the recent form and head-to-head record may challenge these predictions.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Cuenca | Draw | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Published | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +2% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Cuenca, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca | 2.15 | 2.22 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 3.13 | 2.89 | -0.24 |
| Orense SC | 3.27 | 3.37 | +0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.37
- Attack rating (Deportivo Cuenca / Orense SC)
- 0.82 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Deportivo Cuenca / Orense SC)
- 0.98 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Cuenca goals. Columns: Orense SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Orense SC | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| No | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Cuenca or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Orense SC) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cuenca win by 2+ | 16% | 6.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC recent form
Deportivo Cuenca
2W 3D 1L
Orense SC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Cuenca at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-6
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
- They have won 12 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orense SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-10
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.65
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 10 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Cuenca at home only, Orense SC away only.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Deportivo Cuenca 1 · draws 3 · Orense SC 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Orense SC | 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2026-08-16 | Orense SC | 2-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-22 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-3 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-08-31 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-05-10 | Orense SC | 1-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2024-08-10 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-2 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2024-03-10 | Orense SC | 1-1 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2023-09-03 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2023-04-08 | Orense SC | 2-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2022-10-15 | Orense SC | 1-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 6 fixtures
- Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC — team news & stats 2026-11-09
- Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Cuenca, previous: Delfin SC – Deportivo Cuenca, 2026-10-31
- Orense SC, previous: Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario: odds and pick