Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC preview
In the Liga Pro fixture between Tecnico Universitario and Manta FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Tecnico Universitario at 51%, Manta FC at 22%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. However, if Manta FC's recent form continues, they could upset these predictions.
Our model indicates a 58% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance for both teams to score. Tecnico Universitario has expected goals of 1.74, while Manta FC has 1.28. The recent form of Tecnico Universitario is D-W-L-L-D-W, while Manta FC shows W-L-L-W-W-D. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC: model vs market
| Source | Tecnico Universitario | Draw | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 20% |
| Published | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.28.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Tecnico Universitario, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario | 1.73 | 1.72 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Manta FC | 4.50 | 4.52 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Tecnico Universitario and Manta FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (Tecnico Universitario / Manta FC)
- 0.94 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Tecnico Universitario / Manta FC)
- 1.13 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tecnico Universitario goals. Columns: Manta FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tecnico Universitario | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Manta FC | 22% | 4.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tecnico Universitario or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Manta FC) | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tecnico Universitario win by 2+ | 26% | 3.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Tecnico Universitario and Manta FC recent form
Tecnico Universitario
2W 2D 2L
Manta FC
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tecnico Universitario at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-8
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 17
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manta FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-12
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 17
- They have won 8 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 11 penalties (82%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tecnico Universitario at home only, Manta FC away only.
Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Tecnico Universitario 4 · draws 1 · Manta FC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Manta FC | 1-0 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2026-07-26 | Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-05 | Manta FC | 0-2 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2025-11-29 | Tecnico Universitario | 2-3 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-10-19 | Manta FC | 2-0 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2025-08-03 | Tecnico Universitario | 3-1 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-04-11 | Manta FC | 2-1 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2021-09-19 | Tecnico Universitario | 0-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2021-04-09 | Manta FC | 0-2 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2017-10-25 | Manta FC | 2-0 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro Serie B |
Other Relegation Group - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Tecnico Universitario, previous: Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario: odds and pick
- Manta FC, previous: Mushuc Runa SC v Manta FC analysis