Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario preview
In the Liga Pro fixture between Orense SC and Tecnico Universitario, the 1X2 probabilities show Orense SC at 51%, while Tecnico Universitario sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which accounts for 10% of outcomes.
Orense SC has an expected goals figure of 1.83 compared to Tecnico Universitario's 1.10. Both teams to score stands at 57%, and Over 2.5 goals is projected at 56%. However, Tecnico Universitario's recent form includes 3 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance.
Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario: model vs market
| Source | Orense SC | Draw | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 21% |
| Published | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.10.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Orense SC, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 1.83 | 1.83 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
| Tecnico Universitario | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Orense SC and Tecnico Universitario expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Orense SC / Tecnico Universitario)
- 1.14 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Orense SC / Tecnico Universitario)
- 1.11 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Orense SC goals. Columns: Tecnico Universitario goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orense SC | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Tecnico Universitario | 21% | 4.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Orense SC or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Tecnico Universitario) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Orense SC win by 2+ | 31% | 3.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Orense SC and Tecnico Universitario recent form
Orense SC
2W 2D 2L
Tecnico Universitario
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Orense SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-6
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.59
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tecnico Universitario away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-12
- Win rate
- 24%
- Goals for / match
- 0.65
- Goals against / match
- 1.41
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Orense SC at home only, Tecnico Universitario away only.
Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Orense SC 2 · draws 1 · Tecnico Universitario 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Orense SC | 1-2 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2026-02-28 | Tecnico Universitario | 1-1 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-07-08 | Tecnico Universitario | 1-2 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-03-11 | Orense SC | 2-1 | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 5 fixtures
- Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mushuc Runa SC v Manta FC — match page 2026-11-03
Before and after this match
- Orense SC, previous: Orense SC v Delfin SC analysis
- Tecnico Universitario, previous: Tecnico Universitario – Mushuc Runa SC, 2026-10-26