Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC preview
Mushuc Runa SC has a 57% chance of winning against Manta FC, who sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% probability. Expected goals show Mushuc Runa SC at 1.62 and Manta FC at 0.93, indicating a potential low-scoring match.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Manta FC's recent form improves, as they have won 2 of their last 6 matches. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 50%, suggesting that Manta FC could find the net, which would affect the overall outcome. With a confidence grade of C, there is some uncertainty in the predictions.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC: model vs market
| Source | Mushuc Runa SC | Draw | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Published | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Edge | -3% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.05.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.64, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mushuc Runa SC, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.55 | 1.57 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.68 | -0.02 |
| Manta FC | 6.00 | 5.50 | -0.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Mushuc Runa SC / Manta FC)
- 0.82 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Mushuc Runa SC / Manta FC)
- 1.10 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mushuc Runa SC goals. Columns: Manta FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mushuc Runa SC | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Manta FC | 19% | 5.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mushuc Runa SC or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Manta FC) | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mushuc Runa SC win by 2+ | 23% | 4.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC recent form
Mushuc Runa SC
0W 3D 3L
Manta FC
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mushuc Runa SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-7-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 16
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Manta FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-12
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mushuc Runa SC at home only, Manta FC away only.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Mushuc Runa SC 3 · draws 1 · Manta FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Manta FC | 1-2 | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 1-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-11-08 | Manta FC | 3-0 | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-10-25 | Mushuc Runa SC | 1-1 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-08-30 | Mushuc Runa SC | 2-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-05-10 | Manta FC | 2-1 | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Mushuc Runa SC, previous: Tecnico Universitario – Mushuc Runa SC, 2026-10-26
- Manta FC, previous: Manta FC – Deportivo Cuenca, 2026-10-24