Delfin SC vs Manta FC preview
In the Liga Pro fixture between Delfin SC and Manta FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Delfin SC at 48%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Delfin SC has an expected goals figure of 1.27 compared to Manta FC's 0.93, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the recent form suggests a potential challenge for Delfin SC, with their last five matches resulting in 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Manta FC is in better form, with 4 wins in their last 6 matches. The model indicates a 38% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance for both teams to score, which could influence the outcome if Manta FC finds their scoring touch.
Delfin SC vs Manta FC: model vs market
| Source | Delfin SC | Draw | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Published | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.93.
- The market prices Delfin SC below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Delfin SC vs Manta FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Delfin SC, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 1.78 | 2.25 | +0.47 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.09 | -0.21 |
| Manta FC | 4.53 | 3.12 | -1.41 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Delfin SC and Manta FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (Delfin SC / Manta FC)
- 0.89 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Delfin SC / Manta FC)
- 1.00 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Delfin SC vs Manta FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Delfin SC goals. Columns: Manta FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Delfin SC vs Manta FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Delfin SC vs Manta FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Delfin SC | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Manta FC | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Delfin SC or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Manta FC) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Delfin SC win by 2+ | 20% | 5.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Delfin SC and Manta FC recent form
Delfin SC
2W 2D 2L
Manta FC
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Delfin SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-6
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 0.81
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manta FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-11
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.87
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 15
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Delfin SC at home only, Manta FC away only.
Delfin SC vs Manta FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Delfin SC 2 · draws 1 · Manta FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Manta FC | 0-1 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-03-14 | Delfin SC | 0-1 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-06-28 | Delfin SC | 2-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-03-04 | Manta FC | 2-2 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Delfin SC, previous: Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction
- Manta FC, previous: Manta FC – Tecnico Universitario, 2026-10-10