Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca preview
Manta FC faces Deportivo Cuenca with 37% chances of winning for Manta FC and 33% for Deportivo Cuenca. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 12% probability. Manta FC's expected goals are 1.22, while Deportivo Cuenca's are 0.96.
Both teams to score has a 45% chance, and Over 2.5 goals is at 37%. Manta FC's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Deportivo Cuenca has 3 wins in their last 6. This could affect the outcome if Manta FC fails to improve their form or if Deportivo Cuenca capitalizes on their better recent results.
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca: model vs market
| Source | Manta FC | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Published | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Manta FC, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | 2.60 | 2.30 | -0.30 |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 2.73 | 2.99 | +0.26 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.18
- Attack rating (Manta FC / Deportivo Cuenca)
- 0.97 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Manta FC / Deportivo Cuenca)
- 1.28 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Manta FC goals. Columns: Deportivo Cuenca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manta FC | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Manta FC or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Cuenca) | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | Manta FC win by 2+ | 18% | 5.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca recent form
Manta FC
2W 1D 3L
Deportivo Cuenca
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manta FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-8
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.59
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cuenca away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-8
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 0.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Manta FC at home only, Deportivo Cuenca away only.
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Manta FC 4 · draws 0 · Deportivo Cuenca 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-2 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-19 | Manta FC | 0-1 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2025-08-23 | Manta FC | 0-1 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2025-05-03 | Deportivo Cuenca | 2-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2024-07-22 | Manta FC | 1-3 | Deportivo Cuenca | Copa Ecuador |
| 2021-08-07 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2021-03-07 | Manta FC | 1-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2014-07-05 | Deportivo Cuenca | 3-0 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2014-02-15 | Manta FC | 2-0 | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| 2013-05-26 | Deportivo Cuenca | 0-2 | Manta FC | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 4 fixtures
- Orense SC vs Delfin SC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Manta FC, previous: Delfin SC vs Manta FC prediction
- Deportivo Cuenca, previous: Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario analysis