Orense SC vs Delfin SC preview
In the Liga Pro fixture, Orense SC has a 44% chance of winning against Delfin SC, who have a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% probability. Both teams to score stands at 57%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 52%.
Orense SC's recent form shows 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Delfin SC has 4 wins and 2 draws in the same period. The expected goals are 1.29 for Orense SC and 1.47 for Delfin SC. A draw could change the outcome, as previous head-to-head results show 3 draws in their last 4 meetings.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC: model vs market
| Source | Orense SC | Draw | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Orense SC vs Delfin SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Orense SC, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 1.73 | 1.91 | +0.18 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| Delfin SC | 4.53 | 3.85 | -0.68 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Orense SC and Delfin SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.76
- Attack rating (Orense SC / Delfin SC)
- 0.90 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Orense SC / Delfin SC)
- 1.24 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Orense SC goals. Columns: Delfin SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Orense SC vs Delfin SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orense SC | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Delfin SC | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Orense SC or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Delfin SC) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Orense SC win by 2+ | 14% | 6.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Orense SC and Delfin SC recent form
Orense SC
1W 2D 3L
Delfin SC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Orense SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Delfin SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-10
- Win rate
- 6%
- Goals for / match
- 0.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 8 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Orense SC at home only, Delfin SC away only.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Orense SC 1 · draws 3 · Delfin SC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Delfin SC | 1-1 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-19 | Orense SC | 0-0 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-08-26 | Orense SC | 3-1 | Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-05-04 | Delfin SC | 0-0 | Orense SC | Liga Pro |
Other Relegation Group - 4 fixtures
- Manta FC v Deportivo Cuenca — match page 2026-10-24
- Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Orense SC, previous: Mushuc Runa SC – Orense SC, 2026-10-19
- Delfin SC, previous: Delfin SC vs Manta FC prediction