Bradford vs Leyton Orient: model vs market
| Source | Bradford | Draw | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 20% |
| Published | 54% | 27% | 20% |
| Edge | -3% | +5% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bradford vs Leyton Orient odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bradford, 20 snapshots since 2026-09-27.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 1.75 | 1.71 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.65 | +0.09 |
| Leyton Orient | 4.44 | 4.60 | +0.16 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bradford and Leyton Orient expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.03
- Attack rating (Bradford / Leyton Orient)
- 0.87 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Bradford / Leyton Orient)
- 0.61 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bradford vs Leyton Orient score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bradford goals. Columns: Leyton Orient goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bradford vs Leyton Orient goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bradford vs Leyton Orient
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 54% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Leyton Orient | 20% | 5.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.64 |
| No | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bradford or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Leyton Orient) | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win by 2+ | 25% | 3.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bradford and Leyton Orient recent form
Bradford
4W 1D 1L
Leyton Orient
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bradford at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leyton Orient away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bradford at home only, Leyton Orient away only.
Bradford vs Leyton Orient head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Bradford 3 · draws 3 · Leyton Orient 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leyton Orient | 1-3 | Bradford | League Cup |
| 2026-03-07 | Bradford | 2-1 | Leyton Orient | League One |
| 2025-12-20 | Leyton Orient | 2-1 | Bradford | League One |
| 2023-05-08 | Bradford | 1-1 | Leyton Orient | League Two |
| 2022-12-03 | Leyton Orient | 3-0 | Bradford | League Two |
| 2022-02-01 | Bradford | 1-1 | Leyton Orient | League Two |
| 2021-08-28 | Leyton Orient | 2-0 | Bradford | League Two |
| 2021-02-23 | Bradford | 1-0 | Leyton Orient | League Two |
| 2020-11-24 | Leyton Orient | 1-0 | Bradford | League Two |
| 2019-12-14 | Leyton Orient | 0-0 | Bradford | League Two |
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