Cambridge United vs Blackpool Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

Cambridge United vs Blackpool: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Cambridge United	Draw	Blackpool
Model	53%	24%	23%
Market	45%	26%	29%
Published	47%	26%	27%
Edge	+8%	-3%	-6%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.25.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Cambridge United below the model: +8.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

Cambridge United vs Blackpool odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Cambridge United, 20 snapshots since 2026-09-27.

Opened 2.04Now 2.05 +0.01

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Cambridge United	2.04	2.05	+0.01
Draw	3.48	3.50	+0.02
Blackpool	3.34	3.22	-0.12

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Cambridge United and Blackpool expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.98Cambridge United

1.25Blackpool

Total expected goals: 3.23
Attack rating (Cambridge United / Blackpool): 1.07 / 1.21
Defence rating (Cambridge United / Blackpool): 0.88 / 1.25

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Cambridge United vs Blackpool score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.9% 4.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 1 6.9% 10.8% 6.1% 2.6% 1.1% 2 7.7% 9.7% 6.1% 2.5% 1.0% 3 5.1% 6.4% 4.0% 1.7% 0.7% 4+ 4.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%

Rows: Cambridge United goals. Columns: Blackpool goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Cambridge United vs Blackpool goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 84%

Over 2.5 63%

Over 3.5 40%

Both teams to score: 62%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Cambridge United vs Blackpool

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Cambridge United	47%	2.12
	Draw	26%	3.89
	Blackpool	27%	3.67
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.60
	Under 2.5	37%	2.67
Both teams to score	Yes	62%	1.60
	No	38%	2.66
Double chance	1X (Cambridge United or draw)	73%	1.37
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or Blackpool)	53%	1.89
Handicap -1	Cambridge United win by 2+	32%	3.15
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Cambridge United and Blackpool recent form

Cambridge United 2W 3D 1L

Blackpool 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Cambridge United at home

Record (W-D-L): 2-1-1
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 1.75
Goals against / match: 1.50
Clean sheets: 0 of 4

They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Blackpool away

Record (W-D-L): 1-0-2
Win rate: 33%
Goals for / match: 1.33
Goals against / match: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Cambridge United at home only, Blackpool away only.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

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Bradford v Leyton Orient — match page 2026-10-10
Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — team news & stats 2026-10-10
Doncaster vs Burton Albion 2026-10-10
Wycombe v Luton — match page 2026-10-10
Stevenage vs Wigan — team news & stats 2026-10-10
Mansfield Town v Bromley — match page 2026-10-10

Prediction snapshot Cambridge United to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Cambridge United