Inter Turku vs AC Oulu preview
In the Veikkausliiga fixture between Inter Turku and AC Oulu, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter Turku at 43%, while AC Oulu sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring 20% of the time. Inter Turku has an expected goals figure of 0.95 compared to AC Oulu's 0.53, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is only 19%, and both teams to score stands at 26%. Inter Turku's recent form shows inconsistency with D-W-W-L-W-L, while AC Oulu has had mixed results with W-L-L-L-D-W. These factors could impact the final outcome.
Inter Turku vs AC Oulu: model vs market
| Source | Inter Turku | Draw | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 34% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 22% | 13% |
| Published | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Edge | -15% | +12% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Inter Turku vs AC Oulu odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inter Turku, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | 1.55 | 1.44 | -0.11 |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.18 | +0.33 |
| AC Oulu | 5.41 | 6.91 | +1.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Inter Turku and AC Oulu expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.75
- Attack rating (Inter Turku / AC Oulu)
- 0.73 / 0.72
- Defence rating (Inter Turku / AC Oulu)
- 0.59 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter Turku vs AC Oulu score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter Turku goals. Columns: AC Oulu goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter Turku vs AC Oulu goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter Turku vs AC Oulu
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Turku | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| AC Oulu | 14% | 6.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.17 |
| No | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter Turku or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or AC Oulu) | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inter Turku and AC Oulu recent form
Inter Turku
4W 1D 1L
AC Oulu
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter Turku at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-1
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.46
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AC Oulu away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Turku at home only, AC Oulu away only.
Inter Turku vs AC Oulu head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Inter Turku 6 · draws 2 · AC Oulu 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | AC Oulu | 0-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-08-16 | AC Oulu | 2-3 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-06-13 | Inter Turku | 0-0 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-03-21 | Inter Turku | 2-1 | AC Oulu | League Cup |
| 2025-08-08 | Inter Turku | 3-2 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-04-26 | AC Oulu | 1-4 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-09-24 | AC Oulu | 1-0 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-08-10 | AC Oulu | 1-0 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-04-12 | Inter Turku | 3-3 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| 2023-09-03 | Inter Turku | 2-1 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
Other Championship Group - 28 fixtures
- HJK Helsinki v Gnistan — match page 2026-10-17
- KuPS vs VPS 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Inter Turku, previous: Inter Turku vs KuPS prediction
- AC Oulu, previous: AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki analysis