Kifisia vs Panetolikos: model vs market
| Source | Kifisia | Draw | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Published | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Edge | +2% | -2% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.24.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kifisia vs Panetolikos odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kifisia, 36 snapshots since 2026-09-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
| Panetolikos | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kifisia and Panetolikos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Kifisia / Panetolikos)
- 0.97 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Kifisia / Panetolikos)
- 1.06 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kifisia vs Panetolikos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kifisia goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kifisia vs Panetolikos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kifisia vs Panetolikos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kifisia | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Panetolikos | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kifisia or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Panetolikos) | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kifisia win by 2+ | 25% | 3.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kifisia and Panetolikos recent form
Kifisia
1W 2D 3L
Panetolikos
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kifisia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
Panetolikos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Kifisia at home only, Panetolikos away only.
Kifisia vs Panetolikos head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Kifisia 1 · draws 2 · Panetolikos 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Panetolikos | 0-1 | Kifisia | Super League 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Kifisia | 0-0 | Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Panetolikos | 2-1 | Kifisia | Super League 1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Kifisia | 1-1 | Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
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