Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva preview
Drenica Skënderaj faces Malisheva with a 23% chance of winning for Drenica, compared to 53% for Malisheva. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.19 for Drenica and 1.89 for Malisheva.
Both teams to score stands at 60%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 59%. Drenica's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Malisheva has 4 wins in their last 6. The head-to-head record shows Drenica with 1 win, 1 draw, and Malisheva with 3 wins in their last 5 encounters. A draw at 24% could disrupt the expected outcome.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva: model vs market
| Source | Drenica Skënderaj | Draw | Malisheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Drenica Skënderaj and Malisheva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Drenica Skënderaj / Malisheva)
- 1.06 / 1.47
- Defence rating (Drenica Skënderaj / Malisheva)
- 1.07 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Drenica Skënderaj goals. Columns: Malisheva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 23% | 4.39 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Malisheva | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Drenica Skënderaj or draw) | 47% | 2.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Malisheva) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win by 2+ | 31% | 3.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Drenica Skënderaj and Malisheva recent form
Drenica Skënderaj
2W 2D 2L
Malisheva
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Drenica Skënderaj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Malisheva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Drenica Skënderaj at home only, Malisheva away only.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Drenica Skënderaj 1 · draws 1 · Malisheva 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Malisheva | 1-1 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-05-17 | Malisheva | 4-1 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-17 | Drenica Skënderaj | 4-2 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-12-06 | Malisheva | 2-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-28 | Drenica Skënderaj | 3-4 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gjilani vs Llapi 2026-10-23
- Vushtrria v Ballkani — match page 2026-10-24
- Feronikeli vs Dukagjini 2026-10-25
- Prishtina v Drita — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Drenica Skënderaj, previous: Dukagjini – Drenica Skënderaj, 2026-10-19
- Malisheva, previous: Malisheva v Vushtrria analysis