Feronikeli vs Dukagjini preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Feronikeli and Dukagjini, the 1X2 probabilities show Dukagjini at 42%, while Feronikeli sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 17% chance according to our model. Feronikeli's expected goals are 0.72, compared to Dukagjini's 1.07, indicating a potential struggle for the home side.
While both teams to score has a probability of 35% and Over 2.5 goals is at 27%, the recent form suggests that Feronikeli may find it difficult to secure a win, having recorded 2 wins in their last 6 matches. Dukagjini, on the other hand, has a slightly better record with 3 wins in their last 6 games.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini: model vs market
| Source | Feronikeli | Draw | Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 35% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 35% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.07 vs 0.72.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Feronikeli and Dukagjini expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.79
- Attack rating (Feronikeli / Dukagjini)
- 0.71 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Feronikeli / Dukagjini)
- 1.07 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Feronikeli goals. Columns: Dukagjini goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Feronikeli vs Dukagjini
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feronikeli | 23% | 4.32 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Dukagjini | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.85 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Feronikeli or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| X2 (draw or Dukagjini) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win by 2+ | 18% | 5.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Feronikeli and Dukagjini recent form
Feronikeli
2W 2D 2L
Dukagjini
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Feronikeli at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Dukagjini away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-0
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Feronikeli at home only, Dukagjini away only.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Feronikeli 0 · draws 0 · Dukagjini 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Dukagjini | 1-0 | Feronikeli | Kosovo Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gjilani vs Llapi 2026-10-23
- Vushtrria v Ballkani — match page 2026-10-24
- Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Prishtina v Drita — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Feronikeli, previous: Gjilani vs Feronikeli: odds and pick
- Dukagjini, previous: Dukagjini – Drenica Skënderaj, 2026-10-19