Prishtina vs Drita preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Prishtina and Drita, the 1X2 probabilities show Prishtina at 42%, Drita at 26%, and a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which has a 14% chance of occurring.
Both teams to score stands at 43%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 35%. Prishtina's expected goals are 1.21, compared to Drita's 0.88. Recent form shows Prishtina with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Drita has two wins, one draw, and two losses. The head-to-head record favors Drita with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 encounters.
Prishtina vs Drita: model vs market
| Source | Prishtina | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Prishtina and Drita expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.10
- Attack rating (Prishtina / Drita)
- 1.29 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Prishtina / Drita)
- 0.72 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Prishtina vs Drita score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Prishtina goals. Columns: Drita goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Prishtina vs Drita goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Prishtina vs Drita
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prishtina | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Drita | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Prishtina or draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Drita) | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Prishtina win by 2+ | 19% | 5.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Prishtina and Drita recent form
Prishtina
4W 2D 0L
Drita
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Prishtina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Drita away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Prishtina at home only, Drita away only.
Prishtina vs Drita head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Prishtina 0 · draws 2 · Drita 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Drita | 1-0 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-01 | Prishtina | 1-1 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-12-24 | Drita | 2-0 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-14 | Prishtina | 2-2 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gjilani vs Llapi 2026-10-23
- Vushtrria v Ballkani — match page 2026-10-24
- Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Feronikeli vs Dukagjini 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Prishtina, previous: Ballkani vs Prishtina prediction
- Drita, previous: Llapi – Drita, 2026-10-17