Gjilani vs Llapi preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture, Gjilani has a 66% chance to win against Llapi, who has only a 12% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which occurs 13% of the time according to our model. Gjilani's expected goals stand at 2.03, while Llapi's is significantly lower at 0.77.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. The 53% probability for Over 2.5 goals suggests a potential for more scoring, while the 47% chance for both teams to score indicates that Llapi might find the net. Gjilani's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Llapi has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5.
Gjilani vs Llapi: model vs market
| Source | Gjilani | Draw | Llapi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 13% |
| Published | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Gjilani and Llapi expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Gjilani / Llapi)
- 1.04 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Gjilani / Llapi)
- 0.77 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gjilani vs Llapi score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gjilani goals. Columns: Llapi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gjilani vs Llapi goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gjilani vs Llapi
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.63 | |
| Llapi | 13% | 7.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gjilani or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Llapi) | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win by 2+ | 42% | 2.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gjilani and Llapi recent form
Gjilani
3W 1D 2L
Llapi
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gjilani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Llapi away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gjilani at home only, Llapi away only.
Gjilani vs Llapi head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Gjilani 5 · draws 2 · Llapi 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Llapi | 0-2 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-05-17 | Gjilani | 1-2 | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-18 | Llapi | 2-3 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-12-07 | Gjilani | 3-0 | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-28 | Llapi | 4-1 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-04-13 | Gjilani | 2-3 | Llapi | Superliga |
| 2025-02-08 | Llapi | 0-1 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2024-10-26 | Gjilani | 2-1 | Llapi | Superliga |
| 2024-08-10 | Llapi | 1-1 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2024-05-09 | Gjilani | 1-1 | Llapi | Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Vushtrria v Ballkani — match page 2026-10-24
- Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Feronikeli vs Dukagjini 2026-10-25
- Prishtina v Drita — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Gjilani, previous: Gjilani vs Feronikeli: odds and pick
- Llapi, previous: Llapi – Drita, 2026-10-17