Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Buducnost Podgorica	Draw	Sutjeska
Model	48%	32%	20%
Market	—	—	—
Published	48%	32%	20%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.71.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Buducnost Podgorica and Sutjeska expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.26Buducnost Podgorica

0.71Sutjeska

Total expected goals: 1.97
Attack rating (Buducnost Podgorica / Sutjeska): 1.09 / 1.03
Defence rating (Buducnost Podgorica / Sutjeska): 0.71 / 0.86

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.2% 8.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 1 16.3% 13.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 2 11.1% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 3 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Buducnost Podgorica goals. Columns: Sutjeska goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%

Over 1.5 60%

Over 2.5 31%

Over 3.5 14%

Both teams to score: 38%
No goals (0–0): 15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Buducnost Podgorica	48%	2.07
	Draw	32%	3.12
	Sutjeska	20%	5.08
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	31%	3.18
	Under 2.5	69%	1.46
Both teams to score	Yes	38%	2.66
	No	62%	1.60
Double chance	1X (Buducnost Podgorica or draw)	80%	1.25
	12 (either side)	68%	1.47
	X2 (draw or Sutjeska)	52%	1.93
Handicap -1	Buducnost Podgorica win by 2+	23%	4.38
	Push (exactly one goal)	25%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Buducnost Podgorica and Sutjeska recent form

Buducnost Podgorica 3W 1D 2L

Sutjeska 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Buducnost Podgorica at home

Record (W-D-L): 2-1-1
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 1.75
Goals against / match: 0.75
Clean sheets: 2 of 4

They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sutjeska away

Record (W-D-L): 1-2-1
Win rate: 25%
Goals for / match: 0.50
Goals against / match: 0.25
Clean sheets: 3 of 4

They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Buducnost Podgorica at home only, Sutjeska away only.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Buducnost Podgorica 3 · draws 0 · Sutjeska 2.

60% 0% 40%

Buducnost PodgoricaDrawsSutjeska

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-08-03	Sutjeska	0-1	Buducnost Podgorica	Montenegro First League
2026-04-12	Sutjeska	2-0	Buducnost Podgorica	Montenegro First League
2026-02-21	Buducnost Podgorica	2-1	Sutjeska	Montenegro First League
2025-10-05	Sutjeska	0-2	Buducnost Podgorica	Montenegro First League
2025-08-10	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1	Sutjeska	Montenegro First League

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Prediction snapshot Buducnost Podgorica to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Buducnost Podgorica