Portadown vs Glentoran preview
The match between Portadown and Glentoran shows a clear advantage for Glentoran, with a 57% probability of winning compared to Portadown's 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance. Glentoran's recent form includes three wins in their last five games, while Portadown has only one win in the same period.
There is a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score. Portadown's expected goals stand at 1.06, while Glentoran's is significantly higher at 1.76. A surprising result could occur if Portadown manages to improve their form or if Glentoran underperforms. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Portadown vs Glentoran: model vs market
| Source | Portadown | Draw | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 26% | 53% |
| Market | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Published | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Edge | +3% | +4% | -6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Portadown vs Glentoran odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Glentoran, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 4.88 | 4.78 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.10 | -0.10 |
| Glentoran | 1.57 | 1.55 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Portadown and Glentoran expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Portadown / Glentoran)
- 0.81 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Portadown / Glentoran)
- 1.26 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Portadown vs Glentoran score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Portadown goals. Columns: Glentoran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Portadown vs Glentoran goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Portadown vs Glentoran
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portadown | 20% | 5.07 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Glentoran | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Portadown or draw) | 43% | 2.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Glentoran) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Glentoran win by 2+ | 30% | 3.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Portadown and Glentoran recent form
Portadown
1W 1D 4L
Glentoran
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Portadown at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Glentoran away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Portadown at home only, Glentoran away only.
Portadown vs Glentoran head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Portadown 0 · draws 0 · Glentoran 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | Glentoran | 2-1 | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-10-31 | Glentoran | 2-1 | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-08-09 | Portadown | 0-1 | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership |
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