Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC preview
In the Stars League fixture, Qatar SC faces Al-Rayyan SC, with Al-Rayyan SC having a 62% chance to win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which reflects Al-Rayyan SC's stronger recent form, winning six consecutive matches, while Qatar SC has only one win in their last five games.
The model suggests a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance for both teams to score. However, Qatar SC's expected goals are only 0.91, which could limit their scoring chances and affect the outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating that these probabilities are based solely on the model's analysis.
Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC: model vs market
| Source | Qatar SC | Draw | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 23% | 62% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 23% | 62% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Qatar SC / Al-Rayyan SC)
- 0.85 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Qatar SC / Al-Rayyan SC)
- 1.07 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Qatar SC goals. Columns: Al-Rayyan SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qatar SC | 15% | 6.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Qatar SC or draw) | 38% | 2.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Rayyan SC) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Rayyan SC win by 2+ | 39% | 2.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC recent form
Qatar SC
1W 2D 3L
Al-Rayyan SC
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Qatar SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 6.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Al-Rayyan SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Qatar SC at home only, Al-Rayyan SC away only.
Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Qatar SC 1 · draws 5 · Al-Rayyan SC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-2 | Qatar SC | QSL Cup |
| 2026-02-06 | Qatar SC | 3-3 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| 2025-09-13 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1-1 | Qatar SC | Stars League |
| 2025-09-03 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4-1 | Qatar SC | QSL Cup |
| 2025-04-18 | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-0 | Qatar SC | Stars League |
| 2024-12-07 | Qatar SC | 1-2 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| 2024-10-11 | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-2 | Qatar SC | QSL Cup |
| 2024-05-14 | Qatar SC | 4-4 | Al-Rayyan SC | Emir Cup |
| 2024-04-17 | Qatar SC | 0-3 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| 2023-12-28 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1-2 | Qatar SC | QSL Cup |
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