Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC preview
In the match between Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Fayha at 40%, Al-Faisaly FC at 33%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Al-Fayha has expected goals of 1.59, while Al-Faisaly FC has 1.42, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Both teams to score has a 61% probability, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%. However, Al-Fayha's recent form shows D-L-L-D-D-L, which could impact their performance. Al-Faisaly FC's recent results of L-D-W-L-D-D indicate some inconsistency as well. This could lead to a lower-scoring game than anticipated.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC: model vs market
| Source | Al-Fayha | Draw | Al-Faisaly FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 26% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.01
- Attack rating (Al-Fayha / Al-Faisaly FC)
- 0.83 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Al-Fayha / Al-Faisaly FC)
- 1.15 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Fayha goals. Columns: Al-Faisaly FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fayha | 40% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Fayha or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Faisaly FC) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Fayha win by 2+ | 21% | 4.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC recent form
Al-Fayha
0W 3D 3L
Al-Faisaly FC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Fayha at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Faisaly FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Fayha at home only, Al-Faisaly FC away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Hazm — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Nassr v Al Kholood — match page 2026-10-29
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Abha v Al-Ittihad FC — match page 2026-10-30
- Al Diriyah vs NEOM 2026-10-30
- Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq 2026-10-31
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Al-Fayha, previous: Al-Hazm – Al-Fayha, 2026-10-22
- Al-Faisaly FC, previous: Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC prediction