Dunfermline vs Partick preview
Dunfermline faces Partick with a 31% chance of victory for the home side compared to 37% for Partick. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 18% probability. Dunfermline's expected goals sit at 0.61, while Partick's is slightly higher at 0.73.
Both teams to score has a 25% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals is at just 15%. Recent form shows Dunfermline with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Partick has 3 wins in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Partick, who have won 4 of the last 6 encounters. This context could influence the match outcome, making the predictions less certain.
Dunfermline vs Partick: model vs market
| Source | Dunfermline | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 44% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Published | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Edge | -11% | +15% | -5% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dunfermline vs Partick odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Partick, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 2.77 | 2.75 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.23 | 3.20 | -0.02 |
| Partick | 2.40 | 2.38 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dunfermline and Partick expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.20
- Attack rating (Dunfermline / Partick)
- 0.75 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Dunfermline / Partick)
- 0.68 / 0.53
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunfermline vs Partick score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunfermline goals. Columns: Partick goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunfermline vs Partick goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 21%
- No goals (0–0)
- 31%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunfermline vs Partick
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunfermline | 31% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Partick | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 12% | 8.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 21% | 4.76 |
| No | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunfermline or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Partick) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win by 2+ | 10% | 9.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunfermline and Partick recent form
Dunfermline
3W 3D 0L
Partick
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunfermline at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunfermline at home only, Partick away only.
Dunfermline vs Partick head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Dunfermline 0 · draws 2 · Partick 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Partick | 2-1 | Dunfermline | Scotland Premiership |
| 2026-05-12 | Dunfermline | 1-1 | Partick | Scotland Premiership |
| 2026-04-11 | Partick | 2-0 | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-02-24 | Dunfermline | 2-2 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-11-25 | Partick | 1-0 | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-09-27 | Dunfermline | 0-2 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
Before and after this match
- Dunfermline, previous: Dunfermline v Livingston analysis
- Dunfermline, next: Queen's Park vs Dunfermline prediction
- Partick, previous: Ayr Utd – Partick, 2026-10-16
- Partick, next: Partick – Stenhousemuir, 2026-10-24