Queen's Park vs Dunfermline preview
In the match between Queen's Park and Dunfermline, the 1X2 probabilities show Dunfermline at 45% to win, while Queen's Park sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 21% chance. Queen's Park has struggled recently, recording 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Dunfermline has a more stable form with 3 wins in their last 6.
The expected goals indicate Queen's Park at 0.52 and Dunfermline at 1.00, suggesting a low-scoring game. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals are only 20%, and both teams to score stands at 27%. If Queen's Park can improve their form or if Dunfermline underperforms, the outcome could differ from the forecast.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline: model vs market
| Source | Queen's Park | Draw | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 37% | 45% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 18% | 37% | 45% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.00 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Queen's Park and Dunfermline expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.52
- Attack rating (Queen's Park / Dunfermline)
- 0.60 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Queen's Park / Dunfermline)
- 1.28 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Queen's Park goals. Columns: Dunfermline goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 27%
- No goals (0–0)
- 23%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Queen's Park vs Dunfermline
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 18% | 5.68 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Dunfermline | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20% | 5.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27% | 3.73 |
| No | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Queen's Park or draw) | 55% | 1.83 |
| 12 (either side) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| X2 (draw or Dunfermline) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunfermline win by 2+ | 18% | 5.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Queen's Park and Dunfermline recent form
Queen's Park
1W 0D 5L
Dunfermline
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Queen's Park at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunfermline away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Queen's Park at home only, Dunfermline away only.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Queen's Park 2 · draws 4 · Dunfermline 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Dunfermline | 2-0 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-04-25 | Queen's Park | 0-2 | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-02-28 | Dunfermline | 1-0 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-12-13 | Queen's Park | 1-1 | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-10-04 | Dunfermline | 0-0 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-04-12 | Queen's Park | 0-1 | Dunfermline | Championship |
| 2025-02-22 | Dunfermline | 0-0 | Queen's Park | Championship |
| 2024-11-09 | Queen's Park | 2-1 | Dunfermline | Championship |
| 2024-09-28 | Dunfermline | 1-2 | Queen's Park | Championship |
| 2024-04-20 | Dunfermline | 0-0 | Queen's Park | Championship |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Livingston vs Arbroath 2026-10-24
- Partick v Stenhousemuir — match page 2026-10-24
- Morton vs Ayr Utd — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Queen's Park, previous: Morton vs Queen's Park prediction
- Dunfermline, previous: Dunfermline vs Partick: odds and pick