Partick vs Stenhousemuir preview
In the upcoming match between Partick and Stenhousemuir, the 1X2 probabilities show Partick at 39%, a draw at 40%, and Stenhousemuir at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 26%. Partick's expected goals stand at 0.86, while Stenhousemuir's is 0.55, indicating a low-scoring affair.
However, the match could defy expectations if both teams find their attacking rhythm. The model suggests only a 17% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score. Recent form shows Partick with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Stenhousemuir has 5 wins and 1 draw. This could lead to an unpredictable outcome.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir: model vs market
| Source | Partick | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 40% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 40% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Partick and Stenhousemuir expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.40
- Attack rating (Partick / Stenhousemuir)
- 0.97 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Partick / Stenhousemuir)
- 0.53 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Partick goals. Columns: Stenhousemuir goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 25%
- No goals (0–0)
- 26%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Partick vs Stenhousemuir
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 39% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Stenhousemuir | 21% | 4.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17% | 5.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25% | 3.95 |
| No | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Partick or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| X2 (draw or Stenhousemuir) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win by 2+ | 14% | 7.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Partick and Stenhousemuir recent form
Partick
4W 1D 1L
Stenhousemuir
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Partick at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Stenhousemuir away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Partick at home only, Stenhousemuir away only.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Partick 4 · draws 1 · Stenhousemuir 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Stenhousemuir | 1-0 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-07-21 | Partick | 2-2 | Stenhousemuir | League Cup |
| 2022-07-09 | Stenhousemuir | 1-2 | Partick | League Cup |
| 2021-07-17 | Stenhousemuir | 1-2 | Partick | League Cup |
| 2019-11-16 | Stenhousemuir | 1-4 | Partick | Challenge Cup |
| 2018-07-14 | Stenhousemuir | 0-2 | Partick | League Cup |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Livingston vs Arbroath 2026-10-24
- Morton vs Ayr Utd — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT 2026-10-24
- Queen's Park v Dunfermline — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Partick, previous: Dunfermline vs Partick: odds and pick
- Stenhousemuir, previous: Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: odds and pick