Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda: model vs market
| Source | Radnicki 1923 | Draw | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| Published | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Edge | +25% | +9% | -34% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FK Crvena Zvezda, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | 6.50 | 6.50 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.00 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Radnicki 1923 / FK Crvena Zvezda)
- 1.39 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Radnicki 1923 / FK Crvena Zvezda)
- 0.79 / 0.64
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnicki 1923 goals. Columns: FK Crvena Zvezda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki 1923 | 20% | 4.91 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnicki 1923 or draw) | 43% | 2.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Crvena Zvezda) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win by 2+ | 14% | 7.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
Radnicki 1923
4W 2D 0L
FK Crvena Zvezda
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnicki 1923 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Crvena Zvezda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki 1923 at home only, FK Crvena Zvezda away only.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Radnicki 1923 0 · draws 0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Radnicki 1923 | 0-2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-28 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2-1 | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga |
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