Torino vs Como Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

Torino vs Como preview

In the Serie A fixture between Torino and Como, the 1X2 probabilities show Como at 52% and Torino at 23%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-2, which aligns with Como's expected goals of 2.03 compared to Torino's 1.65.

Both teams have shown recent form that suggests goals could be on the horizon. Torino's last five matches include 3 wins and 2 losses, while Como has 4 wins in their last 5 games. The model indicates a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 72%. However, if Torino can tighten their defense, they may challenge Como's attacking strength.

Why this pick: Torino vs Como

Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Torino 10, Como 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.

TorinoComo

1.24 xG per 90 2.21

1.24 npxG per 90 2.21

16.2 PPDA 10.3

4.0 Deep completions per 90 10.6

1.30 xPTS per 90 1.87

xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.

Torino vs Como: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Torino	Draw	Como
Model	26%	25%	49%
Market	21%	25%	54%
Published	22%	25%	53%
Edge	+1%	0%	-1%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.49.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded 2026-10-26 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Torino vs Como odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Como, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.77Now 1.75 -0.02

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Torino	4.67	4.55	-0.12
Draw	3.65	3.79	+0.14
Como	1.77	1.75	-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Torino and Como expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.49Torino

2.07Como

Total expected goals: 3.55
Attack rating (Torino / Como): 1.01 / 1.74
Defence rating (Torino / Como): 0.99 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Torino vs Como score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.6% 4.2% 6.1% 4.2% 3.5% 1 2.5% 10.5% 9.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2 3.2% 6.5% 6.8% 4.7% 3.9% 3 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.9% 4+ 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.0%

Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Como goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Torino vs Como goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 89%

Over 2.5 69%

Over 3.5 48%

Both teams to score: 69%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Torino vs Como

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Torino	22%	4.52
	Draw	25%	4.01
	Como	53%	1.89
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	69%	1.45
	Under 2.5	31%	3.22
Both teams to score	Yes	69%	1.44
	No	31%	3.26
Double chance	1X (Torino or draw)	47%	2.13
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Como)	78%	1.28
Handicap -1	Como win by 2+	30%	3.33
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Torino and Como recent form

Torino 4W 1D 1L

Como 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Torino at home

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-2
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 1.50
Goals against / match: 1.75
Clean sheets: 0 of 4

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Como away

Record (W-D-L): 3-1-1
Win rate: 60%
Goals for / match: 2.00
Goals against / match: 1.20
Clean sheets: 0 of 5

They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Torino at home only, Como away only.