AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica preview
AS Trencin hosts Dukla Banská Bystrica with a 47% chance of winning according to model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects the expected goals of 1.93 for AS Trencin and 1.59 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. The market suggests a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
However, recent form shows AS Trencin struggling with three losses in their last six matches, while Dukla Banská Bystrica has mixed results with two wins in their last six. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making the predictions less reliable. The confidence grade is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in these probabilities.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: model vs market
| Source | AS Trencin | Draw | Dukla Banská Bystrica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Edge | -2% | -1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.59.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on AS Trencin, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Trencin | 1.94 | 1.94 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.72 | -0.02 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 3.28 | 3.30 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.52
- Attack rating (AS Trencin / Dukla Banská Bystrica)
- 0.94 / 0.83
- Defence rating (AS Trencin / Dukla Banská Bystrica)
- 1.40 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AS Trencin goals. Columns: Dukla Banská Bystrica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AS Trencin or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Dukla Banská Bystrica) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Trencin win by 2+ | 26% | 3.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica recent form
AS Trencin
1W 0D 5L
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AS Trencin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dukla Banská Bystrica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: AS Trencin at home only, Dukla Banská Bystrica away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- FK Košice v Komárno — match page 2026-10-10
- Dunajska Streda v Zemplín Michalovce — match page 2026-10-10
- Ružomberok vs Žilina 2026-10-11
- Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava — team news & stats 2026-10-11