Ružomberok vs Žilina: model vs market
| Source | Ružomberok | Draw | Žilina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Published | 29% | 24% | 46% |
| Edge | -8% | -3% | +10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Žilina below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ružomberok vs Žilina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Žilina, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ružomberok | 3.54 | 2.92 | -0.62 |
| Draw | 3.84 | 3.68 | -0.16 |
| Žilina | 1.88 | 2.10 | +0.22 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ružomberok and Žilina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.57
- Attack rating (Ružomberok / Žilina)
- 0.77 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Ružomberok / Žilina)
- 1.16 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ružomberok vs Žilina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ružomberok goals. Columns: Žilina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ružomberok vs Žilina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ružomberok vs Žilina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ružomberok | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Žilina | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ružomberok or draw) | 54% | 1.86 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Žilina) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win by 2+ | 33% | 2.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ružomberok and Žilina recent form
Ružomberok
1W 1D 4L
Žilina
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ružomberok at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Žilina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ružomberok at home only, Žilina away only.
Ružomberok vs Žilina head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Ružomberok 1 · draws 1 · Žilina 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Žilina | 1-2 | Ružomberok | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-31 | Ružomberok | 3-3 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
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