Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica preview
The fixture between Slovan Bratislava and Skalica shows a clear edge for the visitors, with Skalica holding a 51% probability to win compared to Slovan Bratislava's 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expectation of Over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 67%.
However, Slovan Bratislava has a better recent form with two wins in their last six matches, while Skalica has not won in their last six games. This could impact the outcome, as Slovan has won both of their last two head-to-head encounters against Skalica. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica: model vs market
| Source | Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Skalica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| Published | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| Edge | +41% | 0% | -41% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.56, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Skalica, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava | 5.30 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.38 | -0.02 |
| Skalica | 1.49 | 1.50 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slovan Bratislava and Skalica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.64
- Attack rating (Slovan Bratislava / Skalica)
- 1.22 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Slovan Bratislava / Skalica)
- 1.12 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slovan Bratislava goals. Columns: Skalica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 28% | 3.57 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Skalica | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slovan Bratislava or draw) | 49% | 2.04 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Skalica) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Skalica win by 2+ | 9% | 11.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Slovan Bratislava and Skalica recent form
Slovan Bratislava
2W 1D 3L
Skalica
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slovan Bratislava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Skalica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slovan Bratislava at home only, Skalica away only.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 2 · draws 0 · Skalica 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Skalica | 0-1 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-16 | Slovan Bratislava | 1-0 | Skalica | Slovakia Super Liga |
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