FK Košice vs Komárno preview
FK Košice faces Komárno with a 56% probability of winning according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expectation of Over 2.5 goals at 67%. FK Košice's recent form shows three wins in their last six matches, while Komárno has struggled with five winless games, including four draws.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Komárno can improve their form or if FK Košice fails to capitalize on their chances, the outcome could differ. Both teams to score has a 64% probability, suggesting that Komárno might find the net despite their recent struggles.
FK Košice vs Komárno: model vs market
| Source | FK Košice | Draw | Komárno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Published | 56% | 23% | 22% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices FK Košice below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
FK Košice vs Komárno odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FK Košice, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Košice | 1.65 | 1.67 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.03 | -0.07 |
| Komárno | 4.25 | 4.15 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FK Košice and Komárno expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (FK Košice / Komárno)
- 1.37 / 0.72
- Defence rating (FK Košice / Komárno)
- 1.26 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FK Košice vs Komárno score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FK Košice goals. Columns: Komárno goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FK Košice vs Komárno goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FK Košice vs Komárno
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Komárno | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FK Košice or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Komárno) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Košice win by 2+ | 37% | 2.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FK Košice and Komárno recent form
FK Košice
3W 1D 2L
Komárno
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FK Košice at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Komárno away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: FK Košice at home only, Komárno away only.
FK Košice vs Komárno head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: FK Košice 3 · draws 0 · Komárno 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FK Košice | 2-1 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-12 | Komárno | 1-2 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-12-14 | Komárno | 1-2 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-13 | FK Košice | 2-3 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
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