Dunajska Streda vs Zemplín Michalovce: model vs market
| Source | Dunajska Streda | Draw | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Published | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| Edge | +50% | -4% | -45% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dunajska Streda vs Zemplín Michalovce odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zemplín Michalovce, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunajska Streda | 4.78 | 4.71 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.00 | -0.15 |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 1.57 | 1.60 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dunajska Streda and Zemplín Michalovce expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Dunajska Streda / Zemplín Michalovce)
- 1.66 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Dunajska Streda / Zemplín Michalovce)
- 0.84 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunajska Streda vs Zemplín Michalovce score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunajska Streda goals. Columns: Zemplín Michalovce goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunajska Streda vs Zemplín Michalovce goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunajska Streda vs Zemplín Michalovce
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunajska Streda | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunajska Streda or draw) | 54% | 1.86 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Zemplín Michalovce) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zemplín Michalovce win by 2+ | 4% | 23.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 8% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunajska Streda and Zemplín Michalovce recent form
Dunajska Streda
5W 1D 0L
Zemplín Michalovce
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunajska Streda at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game on the road against 3.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Zemplín Michalovce away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunajska Streda at home only, Zemplín Michalovce away only.
Dunajska Streda vs Zemplín Michalovce head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Dunajska Streda 2 · draws 1 · Zemplín Michalovce 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Zemplín Michalovce | 2-1 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-12 | Dunajska Streda | 3-0 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-25 | Zemplín Michalovce | 2-4 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-07-26 | Dunajska Streda | 1-1 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
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