AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga match between AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava, the 1X2 probabilities show Slovan Bratislava at 59%, while AS Trencin sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.81 for AS Trencin and 1.78 for Slovan Bratislava.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with AS Trencin winning 2 of their last 6 matches and Slovan Bratislava winning 3 of their last 6. The model indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 70%. However, if AS Trencin can improve their form or if Slovan Bratislava underperforms, these predictions could change.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava: model vs market
| Source | AS Trencin | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 17% | 20% | 64% |
| Published | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| Edge | +6% | +1% | -7% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.48, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slovan Bratislava, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Trencin | 6.17 | 5.50 | -0.67 |
| Draw | 4.80 | 4.70 | -0.10 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.40 | 1.44 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.21
- Attack rating (AS Trencin / Slovan Bratislava)
- 0.83 / 1.03
- Defence rating (AS Trencin / Slovan Bratislava)
- 1.09 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AS Trencin goals. Columns: Slovan Bratislava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 22% | 4.48 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AS Trencin or draw) | 43% | 2.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Slovan Bratislava) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win by 2+ | 18% | 5.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava recent form
AS Trencin
1W 1D 4L
Slovan Bratislava
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AS Trencin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Bratislava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AS Trencin at home only, Slovan Bratislava away only.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: AS Trencin 2 · draws 2 · Slovan Bratislava 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Slovan Bratislava | 0-2 | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-27 | AS Trencin | 1-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-02-22 | AS Trencin | 1-1 | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| 2025-02-04 | Slovan Bratislava | 3-1 | AS Trencin | Cup |
| 2024-10-05 | Slovan Bratislava | 1-1 | AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| 2024-02-25 | AS Trencin | 0-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| 2023-10-08 | Slovan Bratislava | 2-0 | AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| 2022-10-09 | AS Trencin | 4-0 | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| 2022-07-23 | Slovan Bratislava | 4-0 | AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| 2022-04-19 | Slovan Bratislava | 2-1 | AS Trencin | Cup |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- FK Košice v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- AS Trencin, previous: Komárno vs AS Trencin: odds and pick
- AS Trencin, next: AS Trencin – FK Košice, 2026-10-31
- Slovan Bratislava, previous: Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: odds and pick
- Slovan Bratislava, next: Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick