Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga match between Slovan Bratislava and Dukla Banská Bystrica, the 1X2 probabilities show Slovan Bratislava at 48% and Dukla Banská Bystrica at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which has a 9% probability. Slovan Bratislava has an expected goals figure of 1.86, while Dukla Banská Bystrica's is 1.37.
Both teams to score has a 64% chance, and Over 2.5 goals is at 62%. Recent form indicates Slovan Bratislava has struggled, with L-D-W-D-L-L in their last six matches, while Dukla Banská Bystrica shows better form with W-L-W-L-D-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: model vs market
| Source | Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Dukla Banská Bystrica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Published | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Edge | -23% | +9% | +14% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.24.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slovan Bratislava, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.65 | 5.65 | +0.00 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 8.60 | 8.60 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slovan Bratislava and Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.06
- Attack rating (Slovan Bratislava / Dukla Banská Bystrica)
- 1.13 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Slovan Bratislava / Dukla Banská Bystrica)
- 1.10 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slovan Bratislava goals. Columns: Dukla Banská Bystrica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 67% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.39 | |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 14% | 7.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slovan Bratislava or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Dukla Banská Bystrica) | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win by 2+ | 29% | 3.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slovan Bratislava and Dukla Banská Bystrica recent form
Slovan Bratislava
2W 2D 2L
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slovan Bratislava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dukla Banská Bystrica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slovan Bratislava at home only, Dukla Banská Bystrica away only.
Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 1 · draws 0 · Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 0-4 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Zemplín Michalovce v Podbrezová — match page 2026-10-24
- Skalica v Spartak Trnava — match page 2026-10-24
- Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok 2026-10-24
- Komárno vs AS Trencin 2026-10-25
- FK Košice vs Žilina — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Slovan Bratislava, previous: Roma – Slovan Bratislava, 2026-10-20
- Slovan Bratislava, next: Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick
- Dukla Banská Bystrica, previous: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová prediction