Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga match between Zemplín Michalovce and Podbrezová, the 1X2 probabilities show Zemplín Michalovce at 36% to win, while Podbrezová has a slightly higher chance at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 8% probability. Zemplín Michalovce has an expected goals figure of 1.39 compared to Podbrezová's 1.12, indicating a competitive match.
Both teams to score stands at 52%, suggesting that scoring from both sides is likely. However, Zemplín Michalovce's recent form of D-L-W-L-W-W contrasts with Podbrezová's L-L-W-D-L-D, which could affect the outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová: model vs market
| Source | Zemplín Michalovce | Draw | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | +8% | +4% | -12% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Podbrezová, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zemplín Michalovce | 2.71 | 2.71 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.64 | +0.00 |
| Podbrezová | 2.26 | 2.26 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zemplín Michalovce and Podbrezová expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (Zemplín Michalovce / Podbrezová)
- 0.79 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Zemplín Michalovce / Podbrezová)
- 0.97 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zemplín Michalovce goals. Columns: Podbrezová goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemplín Michalovce | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Podbrezová | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zemplín Michalovce or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Podbrezová) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Podbrezová win by 2+ | 12% | 8.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zemplín Michalovce and Podbrezová recent form
Zemplín Michalovce
3W 1D 2L
Podbrezová
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zemplín Michalovce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Podbrezová away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zemplín Michalovce at home only, Podbrezová away only.
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Zemplín Michalovce 1 · draws 1 · Podbrezová 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Podbrezová | 2-0 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-25 | Zemplín Michalovce | 1-2 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-03-14 | Podbrezová | 0-1 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-12-06 | Zemplín Michalovce | 0-4 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-30 | Podbrezová | 2-2 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Skalica v Spartak Trnava — match page 2026-10-24
- Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok 2026-10-24
- Komárno vs AS Trencin 2026-10-25
- FK Košice vs Žilina — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Zemplín Michalovce, previous: Zemplín Michalovce v FK Košice analysis
- Podbrezová, previous: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová prediction