Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between Zemplín Michalovce and FK Košice, the 1X2 probabilities show FK Košice at 40% and Zemplín Michalovce at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% chance. Both teams to score has a 66% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 65%.
Zemplín Michalovce's recent form is strong with 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while FK Košice has 2 wins in their last 6, including 2 draws. However, FK Košice has won both of the last two head-to-head encounters. This could influence the match outcome, making the prediction less certain.
Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice: model vs market
| Source | Zemplín Michalovce | Draw | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 30% | 24% | 45% |
| Published | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Edge | +15% | 0% | -16% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FK Košice, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zemplín Michalovce | 2.88 | 3.05 | +0.17 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.80 | +0.04 |
| FK Košice | 2.13 | 2.03 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zemplín Michalovce and FK Košice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.33
- Attack rating (Zemplín Michalovce / FK Košice)
- 0.97 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Zemplín Michalovce / FK Košice)
- 0.82 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zemplín Michalovce goals. Columns: FK Košice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemplín Michalovce | 34% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| FK Košice | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zemplín Michalovce or draw) | 58% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Košice) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Košice win by 2+ | 14% | 7.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Zemplín Michalovce and FK Košice recent form
Zemplín Michalovce
5W 0D 1L
FK Košice
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zemplín Michalovce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Košice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zemplín Michalovce at home only, FK Košice away only.
Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Zemplín Michalovce 0 · draws 0 · FK Košice 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Zemplín Michalovce | 0-2 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-19 | FK Košice | 3-2 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Komárno vs Ružomberok 2026-10-17
- Skalica v AS Trencin — match page 2026-10-17
- Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Žilina v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Zemplín Michalovce, previous: Dunajska Streda – Zemplín Michalovce, 2026-10-10
- FK Košice, previous: FK Košice vs Komárno prediction